| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline 19:33 - Feb 9 with 2804 views | Barsidepete |
THE TABLES: (187 played)
(tie-breaker: Most 3 pointers & then first to post)
PREM
1. GATE16... (23).................(+2) (131)
2. thrillseeker... (25).............(+1) (124)
3. mfb_cufc... (16)...............(+0) (119)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
4. mrhappy... (21)................(+7) (115)
5. ethicsgirl... (20)................(+5) (114)
6. Barsidepete... (18)............(+5) (112)
7. BFG... (17).......................(+1) (110)
8. coomster... (17)...............(+4) (110)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
9. durham_exile... (16)..........(+1) (102)
10. Tropical_Us... (15)...........(+4) (94)
11. eagledares... (9)...............(+0) (73)
Division One
1. NOAH4X4... (27)..............(+5) (151)
2. AFC Greenstead... (23).....(+1) (131)
3. sevebalo... (22)................(+4) (129)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
4. gsy163... (18)...................(+0) (123)
5. OhOriOri... (18).................(+1) (114)
6. TheNet... (22)...................(+3) (109)
7. BluenWightExile... (15)......(+5) (108)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
8. gerry_us... (14).................(+0) (107)
9. RSCOSWORTH...(17).........(+4) (104)
10. Blue4U2... (14)...............(+4) (103)
11. Daniel... (13)....................(+0) (91)
12. GoonerDes... (10).............(+3) (82)
13. Murty ... (12)...................(---) (72)
14. BrightSpurs... (10)............(---) (72)
15. fishface... (6)....................(---) (47)
16. Colukev... (7)....................(---) (39)
Week 27:
CARDIFF v WIGAN
MAN CITY v CHELSEA
COVENTRY v BRADFORD (14:00)
CREWE v BRENTFORD
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST (Sun.)
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL (Sun.)
Pick-10 presenters:
Eagle week 28
MFB week 31
Ethics week 34
Daniel week 37 (final week before the playoffs and Charity Shield) [Post edited 11 Feb 2014 3:30]
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| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), updated table, fixtures to follow later Sunday on 20:40 - Feb 9 with 2135 views | noah4x4 |
My apologies to all for an "all 2-1" default (whilst absent on holiday) bagging a decent points score. Sorry for this fluke; I will play properly next week. |  | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), updated table, fixtures to follow on Monday on 12:38 - Feb 10 with 2093 views | mrhappy |
MR HAPPY IS ON A CHARGE !!!!  |  |
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| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), updated table, fixtures to follow on Monday on 15:14 - Feb 10 with 2085 views | gerry_us |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), updated table, fixtures to follow on Monday on 12:38 - Feb 10 by mrhappy |
MR HAPPY IS ON A CHARGE !!!! |
And so you should be!  |  | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), updated table, fixtures to follow later Sunday on 15:24 - Feb 10 with 2082 views | gerry_us |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), updated table, fixtures to follow later Sunday on 00:56 - Feb 10 by Barsidepete |
Bit of an anomaly, Gerry. From my standpoint, don't select games that would end up 2-1 within the margin of error. Will try and make week 27 reflect that .. |
Just thought that the "default" score of 2-1 ( which must be the most predictable score, although I am sure someone has statistics to show otherwise ) is too easy.
Whilst I certainly don't disagree with holiday scores ( I might need them myself in March ) it may be worth thinking about a less predictable default score for next season...
3-0; 1-3...whatever, but default scores often scoring more than an analysed well thought-out posting is at best unfortunate.Just my thoughts Pete, no doubt others will have their own ideas and thoughts. 
....and sorry I can't make the Bricklayers "meet-up" during your UK visit, I had booked my time away well before your announcement.. nothing personal. However with you in the country and me out, U's should gain a proverbial hatful of goals, let's hope so.  | | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), updated table, fixtures to follow on Monday on 18:24 - Feb 10 with 2074 views | noah4x4 |
Wessex (AFC Greenstead) hit the jackpot last week with his default 2-1's (and apologised). I too had a similar fluke this week (and apologised), but I don't think that this suggests that "2-1" is the wrong "vacation" default.
I just got lucky hitting ONE correct score in a very low HGPL scoring week for all. Wessex got luckier; but in a far higher scoring week for all HGPL players (I nearly had as many whilst 'playing properly').
Statistically; 2-1 might have been a banker in past times; but certainly not today. I reckon we are now far more likely to see cagey 1-0's and/or scores of four or more in aggregate; now that each Division seems to be splitting into two as the Fair Play rules create a two tier financial structure (e.g. those with the money and those without); which is now most obvious in the Premier League (which might as well be split into Division A & Division B). Indeed; I reckon to predict more 3-1's than 2-1's. | | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 08:05 - Feb 11 with 2043 views | noah4x4 |
Er...shall I predict all 2-1.....?
Not on your nelly; this is the unpredictable muddy FA Cup!
0 - 2 CARDIFF v WIGAN
2 - 1 MAN CITY v CHELSEA
1 - 1 COVENTRY v BRADFORD (14:00)
0 - 3 CREWE v BRENTFORD
2 - 0 PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT
0 - 2 SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST (Sun.)
2 - 3 ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL (Sun.). | | | |
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| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 11:29 - Feb 11 with 2034 views | BluenWightExile |
Card 1-2 Wigan
ManC 2-0 Chel
Cov 1-2 Brad
Crewe 2-1 Brent
PNE 1-1 Os
Sheff 0-2 Forest
Ars 2-1 Liv |  |
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| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 14:14 - Feb 11 with 2028 views | gerry_us |
Cardiff City 2 Wigan Athletic 1
Manchester City 2 Chelsea 1
Coventry City 2 Bradford City 1
Crewe Alexandra 2 Brentford City 1
Preston North End 2 Leyton Orient 1
Sheffield United 2 Nottingham Forest 1
Arsenal 2 Liverpool 1
"It's called testing a theory!"  | | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 16:05 - Feb 11 with 2014 views | Madeira163 |
CARDIFF v WIGAN 2-1
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 2-0
COVENTRY v BRADFORD 3-1
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 1-0
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST 0-1
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL 3-0 |  | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 16:53 - Feb 11 with 2007 views | gerry_us |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 15:48 - Feb 11 by noah4x4 |
I just love statistics......especially when others are "testing theory".....
Last Saturday (8 Feb) the 38 football league fixtures generated only ONE x 2-1.
I got really lucky as that (e.g. Mansfield 2 - 1 Southend) was a HGPL fixture and was probably the least expected result of the day which I would never have predicted in different circumstances. Hence; it was a generally low scoring week for most players in HGPL; hence I apologised for my fluky "vacation 2-1 default" five points gained overall.
The previous Saturday (1 Feb) the 36 football league fixtures generated SEVEN x 2-1.
Here; Wessex (AFC Greenstead) benefited from a 2-1 default selection and he too apologised for his good fortune. But it was generally a high scoring week in the HGPL for most; so taken with the previous week's (low) data; that perhaps suggests that 2-1 is one of the most favoured predictions by HGPL players?
But is that a wise tactic? Let's roll our data back much further....
Saturday 25th January offered 20 football league fixtures and again only ONE x 2-1
Saturday 18th January offered 40 football league fixtures and again only ONE x 2-1.
11th January; 40 fixtures; FOUR x 2-1.
4th January 23 FA Cup fixtures; merely TWO x 2-1.
So from the last 197 Saturday fixtures covering all Saturdays so far in 2014 we have witnessed only 16 x 2-1 home wins (e.g. a staggeringly low 4%). I bet that data is a surprise to most!
I spotted this trend a while back and today; my (Prem and football league fixtures) theory is that a 1-0 or 0-1 or very high scoring games are likely to occur more frequently than 2-1 (or 1-2). The statistical evidence is compelling as above.
My conclusion is that the Fair Play Rules have split EACH division into two tiers; where the form sides (often those with most gates/money) wallop the weak and tend to score three (or more); whilst the weak versus weak (or those temporary out of form/ injury crisis/lacking confidence etc.) typically slug out 1-0 or 0-1 battles as both are desperate to keep clean sheets or avoid goal difference slip ups.
In summary; I reckon 2-1 is an excellent "vacation default" for the HGPL league to continue; as whilst there will inevitably be a few fluke weeks; it won't ever disadvantage the best players over a 40 week (or so) HGPL season. [Post edited 11 Feb 2014 16:03]
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Aha, but this is FA Cup week where "anything" is possible.
Some very interesting stats though Noah and I was sure that I would be proven wrong in my assumption. Now looking forward to Saturday for some more stat provoking results.
...and hoping for 1-2 tonight. | | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 18:36 - Feb 11 with 2002 views | Gate16 |
CARDIFF v WIGAN 1-2
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 2-0
COVENTRY v BRADFORD (14:00) 1-1
CREWE v BRENTFORD 1-2
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 2-1
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST (Sun.) 2-1
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL (Sun.) 2-1 |  | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 10:46 - Feb 12 with 1986 views | mrhappy |
CARDIFF v WIGAN 2-1
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 0-2
COVENTRY v BRADFORD 1-3
CREWE v BRENTFORD 1-3
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 1-3
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST (Sun.) 1-3
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL (Sun.) 1-3 | |
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| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 10:48 - Feb 12 with 1985 views | BrightSpurs |
CARDIFF v WIGAN 0-0
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 1-1
COVENTRY v BRADFORD 0-0
CREWE v BRENTFORD 0-0
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 1-1
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST 0-0
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL 0-3 |  | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 11:52 - Feb 13 with 1963 views | GoonerDes |
CARDIFF v WIGAN 2-0
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 2-0
COVENTRY v BRADFORD 2-1
CREWE v BRENTFORD 2-1
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 1-2
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST 1-4
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL 2-1 |  | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 14:36 - Feb 13 with 1956 views | thrillseeker |
CARDIFF v WIGAN 2-1
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 2-1
COVENTRY v BRADFORD 2-0
CREWE v BRENTFORD 1-2
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 2-1
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST 0-1
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL 2-1 | | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 16:51 - Feb 13 with 1952 views | BFG |
CARDIFF v WIGAN 1-2
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 1-1
COVENTRY v BRADFORD (14:00) 2-0
CREWE v BRENTFORD 0-1
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 3-1
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST (Sun.) 0-1
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL (Sun.) 1-2 |  | | |
| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 00:02 - Feb 15 with 1927 views | mfb_cufc |
CARDIFF 2 WIGAN 1
MAN CITY 1 CHELSEA 0
COVENTRY 1 BRADFORD CITY 2
CREWE 2 BRENTFORD 1
PRESTON 2 LEYTON ORIENT 0
SHEFF UTD 0 NOTTM FOREST 1
ARSENAL 1 LIVERPOOL 0 |  |
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| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 01:03 - Feb 15 with 1921 views | RSCOSWORTH |
16. Colukev... (7)....................(---) (39)
Week 27:
CARDIFF v WIGAN 1-1
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 2-1
COVENTRY v BRADFORD 3-1
CREWE v BRENTFORD 1-2
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 1-0
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST 1-2
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL 2-2 |  |
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| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 04:59 - Feb 15 with 1912 views | Barsidepete |
CARDIFF v WIGAN 1-2
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 1-2
COVENTRY v BRADFORD (14:00) 2-1
CREWE v BRENTFORD 2-1
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 1-2
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST (Sun.) 0-2
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL (Sun.) 1-2
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| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 08:33 - Feb 15 with 1902 views | ethicsgirl |
CARDIFF v WIGAN 1-1
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 2-0
COVENTRY v BRADFORD (14:00) 1-0
CREWE v BRENTFORD 1-2
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 2-0
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST (Sun.) 2-1
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL (Sun.) 2-2 |  |
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| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 08:55 - Feb 15 with 1901 views | durham_exile |
CARDIFF 2 v 0 WIGAN
MAN CITY 1 v 2 CHELSEA
COVENTRY 2 v 0 BRADFORD (14:00)
CREWE 1 v 3 BRENTFORD
PRESTON 2 v 1 LEYTON ORIENT
SHEFF UTD 0 v 2 NOTTM FOREST (Sun.)
ARSENAL 2 v 1 LIVERPOOL (Sun.)
Up the U's |  |
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| The HGPL Week 27 (of 37), Saturday 14:00 deadline on 09:18 - Feb 15 with 1900 views | Tropical_Us |
CARDIFF v WIGAN 2 - 0
MAN CITY v CHELSEA 1 - 1
COVENTRY v BRADFORD (14:00) 1 - 0
CREWE v BRENTFORD 1 - 2
PRESTON v LEYTON ORIENT 2 - 1
SHEFF UTD v NOTTM FOREST (Sun.) 1 - 2
ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL (Sun.) 2 - 2 | | | |
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